Because apparently human pundits weren't wrong enough about elections, we've now outsourced the job to artificial intelligence. A popular YouTube channel called Election Time decided to ask ChatGPT who will occupy the White House after 2028, and as Conservative Brief reported, the robot overlord delivered a prediction that has Republicans popping champagne three years early.
The host of the video fed the AI a simple prompt: show me exactly what election night 2028 looks like, hour by hour. ChatGPT, apparently thrilled to have a purpose beyond writing college essays, went absolutely wild. It picked the nominees, filled out an entire Electoral College map in poll closing order, and basically cosplayed as the world's most confident election analyst.
For the matchup, the AI selected Vice President JD Vance on the Republican side, which wasn't exactly a shocker since he currently sits at a 41% chance of nabbing the GOP nomination according to Kalshi prediction markets. On the Democratic side, ChatGPT went with California Governor Gavin Newsom, even though early polling had him trailing Kamala Harris by 15 points. Apparently, the AI checked the betting odds, saw Newsom at 19% as the frontrunner ahead of a "surging AOC and Jon Ossoff," and said good enough for me.
Then came the state by state breakdown, which played out like a slow motion horror film for Democrats. The 7 p.m. Eastern hour gave Vance a 44 to 16 lead. By 7:30, after scooping up West Virginia by over 40 points and Ohio by 14, he jumped to 81 electoral votes. The big 8 p.m. wave covering 16 states and D.C. produced the first historic flip: New Hampshire going Republican by 0.9 percent, something that hasn't happened since George W. Bush pulled it off in 2000.
But wait, it gets worse for Team Blue. At 9 p.m., Minnesota goes lean Republican by 1.2 percent, which ChatGPT helpfully noted would be the first GOP victory there since Nixon in 1972. That's 54 years of Democratic dominance, apparently just evaporating because a language model said so. Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, and Nevada all followed suit for Vance.
Newsom did manage to hold onto the usual suspects: California by roughly 30 points, New York by 12.4 percent, Colorado, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, and a handful of northeastern states. New Jersey stayed in his column by a measly 3.4 percent, its closest margin since 1992.
The final tally? Vance cruises to 326 electoral votes while Newsom limps home with 212. According to the host, that would represent the worst Democratic performance since Michael Dukakis got steamrolled back in 1988.
So there you have it, folks. A chatbot that sometimes struggles to count the number of R's in "strawberry" is now confidently forecasting presidential elections three years out. Sleep tight, political strategists. Your jobs are definitely safe.
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